For the record, it is NEVER TRUE that, Dr Mahamudu Bawumia is the first NPP presidential candidate, on his very first attempt, to secure more than two regions in the decisive round of a general election.
This can be backed by the following facts:
- In 2008, Akufo-Addo won 4 out of the then 10 regions in the first round with 49.13%(Ashanti, Eastern, Brong-Ahafo & Western).
After the 2008 second round, Akufo-Addo won 2 out of the 10 regions with 49.77% (Ashanti & Eastern).
The percentage difference between 1st and 2nd round of Akufo-Addo’s performance shows that there was even an increase of 0.64% (that is 49.77 – 49.13 = 0.64).
Akufo-Addo lost the 2008 election with only 40,586 votes (0.46%) but secured a respectable Parliamentary Seats of 107 against NDC’s seats of 116; a difference of 9 Seats (116 – 107 = 9).
- In 2024, Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia won 3 out of 16 Regions (Ashanti, Eastern & North East) in the 1st round with 41.75% (275/276 Declared Constituencies). However, the actual data is 38.2% after the declaration of 276/276 Constituencies.
It is important to state that, if we are scientifically comparing the 16 Regions in 2024 to the 10 Regions in 2008, it means that, Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia won only Ashanti Region & Eastern Region, the typical two strongholds of the NPP considering the fact that North East was originally part of the Northern Region in 2008.
Therefore, the result of the 2024 election clearly shows that, Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia may not be popular in the Ashanti and Eastern Region.
For instance, Nana Akufo-Addo had 72.40% and 74.94% in the Ashanti Region respectively for the 1st and 2nd round of the 2008 elections. However, Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia had only 65.36% in Ashanti Region during the 2024 election.
Again, Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia abysmally lost the 2024 election with 1, 714, 179 votes (over 1.7 million deficit), and a Parliamentary minority of 88 against 183 of NDC; an embarrassing difference of 95 Seats(183 – 88 = 95).
The gap between Mahama and Bawumia in 2024 was 14.67% whereas the gap between Mills and Akufo-Addo in 2008 was only 0.46%.
Comparison of 1992 & 1996 to 2008 & 2024
- Prof. Adu Boahen contested the 1992 election as an opposition leader to a Military leader who has governed the country at that time for 11 years. This is unlike Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia who was the sitting Vice-President for 8years.
- Prof. Adu Boahen won only one Region out of 10 yet obtained 30.29%, unlike Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia who won 3 out of 16 Regions (technically 2 out of 10 Regions since North East was originally part of Northern Region) yet obtained only 38.2%.
- John Kufuor contested the 1996 election as an opposition leader against a sitting president of 15 years yet obtained 39.67% after winning only Ashanti Region(1 out of 10 Regions) unlike Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia who contested the 2024 election as a sitting president yet obtained 38.2%.
Conclusion
It would be advisable for Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia and his people to STOP discussing electoral DATA because no matter how they play with the numbers, it will still NOT look good for them.
The Data below(flyer attached to this Article) shared by Dr. Prince Hamid Armah, a member of “Rich Ideas Camp” shows that Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia is the Worst Presidential Candidate under 8year cycle of change of government.
Ghana has experienced 8year cycle of change of government since 1992 and these changes were experienced in 2000, 2008, 2016, and 2024.
The Analysis of Data shared by Dr. Prince Hamid Armah indicate that:
- Mills lost 2000 election with a difference of 13.8%, and 92 Parliamentary Seats.
- Nana Akufo-Addo lost 2008 election with a difference of 0.46%, and 107 Parliamentary Seats.
- John Mahama lost 2016 election with a difference of 9.44%, and Parliamentary Seats of 104.
- Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia lost 2024 election with a difference of 14.94%, and Parliamentary Seats of 88.
The aforementioned data shows that Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia performed POORLY in 2024.
Mathematically, let do a simple analysis per the data generated by Bawumia’s camp which was shared by Dr. Prince Armah on Facebook in terms of Presidential Performance:
- Bawumia(2024) minus Mills(2000) = 1.14% (14.94 – 13.8)
This implies that Mills did better than Bawumia comparatively, and again remember that Mills lost 2000 after 2nd round unlike Bawumia who poorly lost 2024 in the 1st round.
Also, Mills was marketed by NDC for only 4 years before 2000 presidential election unlike Dr. Bawumia who was marketed for 16 years by NPP before the 2024 presidential election.
- Bawumia(2024) minus Akufo-Addo(2008) = 14.48% (14.94 – 0.46)
Remember that Akufo-Addo lost 2008 election after 2nd round unlike Bawumia who poorly lost 2024 in the 1st round. It also imply that, Nana Akufo-Addo performed EXTREMELY WELL & SIGNIFICANTLY BETTER than Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia.
- Bawumia(2024) minus Mahama(2016) = 5.5% (14.94 – 9.44)
Remember that both Mahama and Bawumia lost the 2016 and 2024 respectively in the 1st round, and the data show that Mahama did better than Bawumia.
Also, carefully comparing the Parliamentary Performance, Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia came across as a WEAK LEADER for the 2024 general election, and the facts backing it are as follows:
- NDC(2000) minus NPP(2024) = 4 Seats(92 – 88)
- NPP(2008) minus NPP(2024) = 19 Seats (107 – 88)
- NDC(2016) minus NPP(2024) = 16 Seats(104 – 88)
Let’s also appreciate that Parliamentary Seats difference between:
- NPP and NDC in 2000 per Bawumia’s own data was 8 Seats(100-92)
- NDC and NPP in 2008 per Bawumia’s own data was 8 Seats (115 – 107)
- NPP and NDC in 2016 per Bawumia’s own data was 65 Seats (169 – 104)
- NDC and NPP in 2024 per Bawumia’s own data was 96 Seats (184 – 88)
Everything shows that Mahama did extremely better in 2016 than Bawumia in 2024 even in terms of Parliamentary election.
… Signed….
Razak Kojo Opoku(PhD)
Founding President of UP Tradition Institute
…. Signed….
Razak Kojo Opoku (PhD)
Founding President of UP Tradition Institute
