Johnson Asiedu Nketia remains in the lead in the race to become the presidential flagbearer of the National Democratic Congress (NDC), but a new tracking poll indicates that his advantage is narrowing as support for Cassiel Ato Forson continues to rise.
The survey, conducted by Global InfoAnalytics between March 31 and April 9, sampled nearly 10,400 NDC delegates across all sixteen regions through telephone interviews. It represents the first publicly available assessment of delegate preferences since the succession race to replace John Dramani Mahama began to take shape.
According to the findings, Asiedu Nketia leads with 29% support among delegates. Forson follows with 19%, while Haruna Iddrisu polls at 11%. Julius Debrah and Jane Naana Opoku-Agyemang are tied at 8% each. One per cent of respondents support other candidates, while 24% remain undecided.
The results mark a shift from an earlier poll conducted a week prior, in which Asiedu Nketia led Forson by a wider margin of 28% to 12%. The reduced gap suggests that a portion of previously undecided delegates is now aligning with the Finance Minister.
Global InfoAnalytics noted that most leading contenders have recorded gains in support, with the exception of Asiedu Nketia, despite his ongoing nationwide “thank you” tour.
Forson’s performance is particularly notable given that he has not formally declared his intention to contest the flagbearer position. Political observers interpret his 19% support as an indication of significant grassroots appeal. In hypothetical head-to-head matchups, Asiedu Nketia leads Forson by 37% to 32%, a margin narrower than his advantage over other contenders.
Regional patterns further underscore the competitiveness of the race. In the Northern Region, Haruna Iddrisu leads with 35% support, while Asiedu Nketia records 26%. In key swing regions—Greater Accra Region, Central Region, Eastern Region, and Western Region—support for Asiedu Nketia and Forson is evenly matched at 28% each.
The contest remains fluid, with nearly a quarter of delegates yet to decide. While Asiedu Nketia has maintained his lead, the marginal increase in his support suggests that his campaign efforts have not significantly consolidated his position or converted undecided voters.
The survey also sheds light on delegate priorities. A majority (74%) identified performance as the most important attribute in a candidate, followed by visionary leadership (53%) and government experience (35%). Demographic factors appear to carry limited weight, with only 8% citing youth as a priority and 1% considering gender a determining factor.
